SUPARCO Announces Likely Start Date of Ramadan. The Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO) has announced the likely start date of Ramadan 2026 in Pakistan, stating that the holy month is expected to begin on February 19, 2026, based on astronomical calculations.
The announcement has generated significant interest among citizens, as Ramadan is one of the most sacred and anticipated months in the Islamic calendar. However, officials have clarified that the final decision will be made by the relevant religious authority after moon sighting confirmation.
Astronomical Calculations Behind Ramadan 2026 Prediction
According to SUPARCO, the new moon for Ramadan will be born on February 17, 2026, at 5:01 pm (Pakistan Standard Time). Astronomical data indicates that by sunset on February 18, the moon’s age will be approximately 25 hours and 48 minutes, which is generally considered favorable for crescent visibility.
Experts have explained that the age of the moon plays a crucial role in determining whether the crescent can be seen with the naked eye. In this case, the moon will have matured enough to increase the likelihood of sighting across several parts of the country.
Moon Visibility Conditions in Coastal Areas
SUPARCO further stated that on the evening of February 18, the time difference between sunset and moonset will be around 59 minutes in Pakistan’s coastal areas. This duration is considered sufficient for potential moon sighting.
A longer gap between sunset and moonset typically improves the chances of observing the crescent, especially in areas with a clear western horizon. Coastal regions often experience better visibility due to lower obstructions and atmospheric clarity.
Based on these scientific parameters, SUPARCO has indicated that the first day of Ramadan is likely to fall on February 19, 2026.
Final Decision Lies with Ruet-i-Hilal Committee
Despite the positive astronomical indicators, SUPARCO has emphasized that it does not have the authority to officially declare the beginning of Ramadan.
The official announcement regarding the start of the holy month will be made by the Ruet-i-Hilal Committee, the authorized body responsible for moon sighting decisions in Pakistan. The committee relies on verified witness testimonies from different parts of the country before confirming the sighting of the crescent moon.
Traditionally, the Ruet-i-Hilal Committee conducts meetings on the 29th day of Sha’ban to assess reports and make the final decision. Therefore, while February 19 is the expected date, the formal confirmation will depend on moon sighting evidence.
Pakistan Meteorological Department’s Forecast
Earlier, the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) also shared its assessment regarding the Ramadan crescent. According to the department, there is a fair chance of moon sighting on the evening of February 18, 2026.
The PMD added that weather conditions are expected to remain partly cloudy or clear in most parts of the country, which could further support moon sighting efforts. Clear skies play a significant role in crescent visibility, particularly in urban areas where light pollution can sometimes create challenges.
Importance of Scientific Data in Moon Sighting
In recent years, Pakistan has increasingly relied on scientific data provided by SUPARCO and the Meteorological Department to assist the Ruet-i-Hilal Committee. Astronomical calculations help predict moon birth, altitude, illumination percentage, and visibility windows.
While religious authorities make the final decision, scientific input has improved accuracy and reduced confusion regarding the start of Islamic months.
Public Anticipation for Ramadan 2026
The announcement of a likely start date has already sparked preparations across the country. Ramadan is a time of fasting, prayer, charity, and spiritual reflection for Muslims. Markets typically witness increased activity ahead of the holy month, with families preparing for Sehr and Iftar arrangements.
Government departments and private organizations also begin planning adjusted working hours, security arrangements, and relief measures for citizens.
Why Official Confirmation is Important
Although astronomical data strongly suggests February 19 as the first day of Ramadan, it is important to wait for the official announcement. Moon sighting can sometimes vary depending on regional visibility and weather conditions.
The Ruet-i-Hilal Committee’s confirmation ensures nationwide unity in observing the holy month simultaneously.
Conclusion
According to SUPARCO’s astronomical calculations, Ramadan 2026 in Pakistan is likely to begin on February 19, 2026, with the crescent expected to be visible on the evening of February 18. Favorable moon age, visibility duration, and weather conditions have strengthened the possibility of sighting.
